Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 92086.368955 97107.566168 102123.485195 107506.649806 113116.863978 118787.828600 124949.924620
2025-02-02 85030.351468 92819.386798 100812.954025 109618.775704 119036.082680 128794.446103 139659.512272
2025-02-09 79309.777971 88980.386179 99118.226444 110515.959603 122950.339643 136081.217601 150972.891998
2025-02-16 74196.276550 85203.781618 96952.344332 110388.199475 125290.437078 141274.511576 159676.579269
2025-02-23 70452.372811 82566.331728 95699.509009 110941.597576 128088.381477 146725.330758 168455.946625
2025-03-02 66970.543662 79955.449284 94234.253239 111027.668421 130161.188616 151204.675994 176019.172310
2025-03-09 64720.636962 78570.902540 93996.670848 112355.390141 133509.293531 157018.474845 185015.763044
2025-03-16 61599.141524 76009.230731 92258.523367 111820.139993 134605.429483 160181.125115 190927.205205
2025-03-23 60068.165568 75206.068545 92465.359216 113454.735477 138137.453784 166086.092297 199961.948696
2025-03-30 58310.627996 74038.991580 92163.063661 114419.611752 140831.933704 170988.449804 207825.813670
2025-04-06 56306.958331 72484.910101 91321.348238 114672.297217 142628.470577 174803.996645 214402.047414
2025-04-13 54317.176484 70864.179668 90324.880457 114670.634573 144065.415101 178156.565041 220411.739444
2025-04-20 53491.072742 70661.576445 91045.182398 116761.709675 148054.768951 184603.622855 230201.277546
2025-04-27 52656.192280 70412.062078 91683.717103 118741.769527 151916.970507 190927.924382 239903.346278
2025-05-04 51336.823856 69502.400860 91466.729655 119637.962748 154441.084875 195645.233405 247698.677510
2025-05-11 49588.608559 67987.593495 90443.938380 119488.502831 155646.248005 198747.450748 253539.923877
2025-05-18 48295.082781 67005.258970 90043.684034 120075.574375 157730.184798 202901.374699 260659.861369
2025-05-25 46844.266720 65770.001104 89280.044009 120166.696215 159168.018015 206249.072754 266795.301399
2025-06-01 46075.335405 65392.196529 89580.193479 121581.827897 162248.864275 211617.345979 275430.907094
2025-06-08 44464.307208 63857.051663 88352.867654 121011.278672 162800.747139 213841.643370 280182.818914
2025-06-15 43938.970267 63740.933067 88939.522631 122753.471188 166274.335139 219702.633327 289469.587259
2025-06-22 43137.376162 63227.103471 88986.238564 123781.719631 168831.889189 224425.356202 297360.908326
2025-06-29 42057.116905 62303.952311 88467.891696 124050.983922 170401.042489 227902.447455 303702.422490